Quality of data in TS and how it affects our forecast. #forecasting #qspectrum2
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Flavian
I have been using Larry’s %R for entries since 10 years.
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There are more details you may find useful about trade setups and entries on ireallytrade.com K. Regards, Flavian
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Krzysztof Kujawiak
Larry, your suggestions are always valuable to me :)
How to enter a trade is a factor that is still troublesome for me and I can't find an optimal solution, so currently I just open a short / long at the opening of a US session with little help of your %R. So maybe that's why I'm looking for most accurate entry point from cycles alone. Thank you |
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Larry Williams
Well put, better than I said it. Cycles seem to be a condition of when buy/sell signals will be more productive
From: main@timingsolution.groups.io <main@timingsolution.groups.io> On Behalf Of Matteo
Sent: Thursday, November 24, 2022 6:45 AM To: main@timingsolution.groups.io Subject: Re: [timingsolution] Quality of data in TS and how it affects our forecast. #forecasting #qspectrum2
Hello Krzysztof,
What i think is that we should see cycles as a condition for the underlying market (recalling what I heard from Larry Williams, if I’m not wrong), i.e., I don’t want to buy simply because we are at the trough of cycles or sell because we are at the peak (or even because the Predictable zone start). I will look for selling signals at the peak of cycles and buying signals at the trough but to pull the trigger I would use different techniques. In other words, I look at cycles to give me an idea of the possible future trend but not as a way to get in the market and as such three days is not a big difference. Also because it seems to me the cycles selected have quite a big period so 3 days is not a big change. Btw, this is my personal opinion and what my small experience led me to think.
Best regards,
Matteo
On Thu, 24 Nov 2022 at 11:20, Krzysztof Kujawiak via groups.io <investovanie=protonmail.com@groups.io> wrote:
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Larry Williams
Lots of wisdom here; test, observe and repeat
From: main@timingsolution.groups.io <main@timingsolution.groups.io> On Behalf Of Profit Engineers
Sent: Thursday, November 24, 2022 6:36 AM To: main@timingsolution.groups.io Subject: Re: [timingsolution] Quality of data in TS and how it affects our forecast. #forecasting #qspectrum2
Hello Krzysztof,
The best and only way, in my opinion is to satisfy yourself as to which methodology is best. You need to take the time to generate perhaps 20 prior forecasts. 20 for each forecast method. You should then be able to see for yourself as to which method is more to your liking.
Enjoy, Terry
Sent Hot Foot via my Galaxy Chariot
-------- Original message -------- From: "Krzysztof Kujawiak via groups.io" <investovanie@...> Date: 24/11/22 21:02 (GMT+10:00) Subject: [timingsolution] Quality of data in TS and how it affects our forecast. #forecasting #qspectrum2
Hello team, |
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Matteo
Hello Krzysztof, What i think is that we should see cycles as a condition for the underlying market (recalling what I heard from Larry Williams, if I’m not wrong), i.e., I don’t want to buy simply because we are at the trough of cycles or sell because we are at the peak (or even because the Predictable zone start). I will look for selling signals at the peak of cycles and buying signals at the trough but to pull the trigger I would use different techniques. In other words, I look at cycles to give me an idea of the possible future trend but not as a way to get in the market and as such three days is not a big difference. Also because it seems to me the cycles selected have quite a big period so 3 days is not a big change. Btw, this is my personal opinion and what my small experience led me to think. Best regards, Matteo On Thu, 24 Nov 2022 at 11:20, Krzysztof Kujawiak via groups.io <investovanie=protonmail.com@groups.io> wrote: Hello team, |
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Profit Engineers
Hello Krzysztof, The best and only way, in my opinion is to satisfy yourself as to which methodology is best. You need to take the time to generate perhaps 20 prior forecasts. 20 for each forecast method. You should then be able to see for yourself as to which method is more to your liking. Enjoy, Terry Sent Hot Foot via my Galaxy Chariot -------- Original message -------- From: "Krzysztof Kujawiak via groups.io" <investovanie@...> Date: 24/11/22 21:02 (GMT+10:00) To: main@timingsolution.groups.io Subject: [timingsolution] Quality of data in TS and how it affects our forecast. #forecasting #qspectrum2 I would like to share my thoughts about data which we used to make our forecast. Like Sergey said on some of his videos "Trash In, trash out" Currently I'm using a data exported from my futures platform Sierra chart, but of course I want to cut cost :) So I make two forecast using data from TS and Sierra for Gold Futures (GC continuous contract). Not going deeply into method etc. I used same for both, QSII , autoselection and I got below: TS Data:  SierraChart Data:  As we can see the difference is 3 days to sell gold by TS forecast. We are traders, so in the end we are pulling the trigger and we are responsible for our trades, but 3 days can make big difference in terms of forecasting. I will be grateful for the opinions from others :) Best regard Krzysztof |
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Krzysztof Kujawiak
Hello team,
I would like to share my thoughts about data which we used to make our forecast. Like Sergey said on some of his videos "Trash In, trash out" Currently I'm using a data exported from my futures platform Sierra chart, but of course I want to cut cost :) So I make two forecast using data from TS and Sierra for Gold Futures (GC continuous contract). Not going deeply into method etc. I used same for both, QSII , autoselection and I got below: TS Data:  SierraChart Data:  As we can see the difference is 3 days to sell gold by TS forecast. We are traders, so in the end we are pulling the trigger and we are responsible for our trades, but 3 days can make big difference in terms of forecasting. I will be grateful for the opinions from others :) Best regard Krzysztof |
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