Gold/USD promising method
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Jerry Nevins
Hi Everyone, Here is a new video on an accurate method for predicting PA in 1 week increments XAU/USD Best, |
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Klaus Heimann
Hi Jerry Thank you very much for your research. Question : You do the backtesting manually for every week. Would it be possible to do it automatically, for more weeks ? Best Klaus Am Sa., 10. Dez. 2022 um 00:07 Uhr schrieb Jerry Nevins <jnevins@...>:
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Jerry Nevins
Hi Klaus, Yes, I backtest manually. The confirmation of the curve is a visual one. Since the time period is so short, I move the LBC each week and test again before the new week begins. It would be great if some kind of auto backtest could be worked into the program. Best Wishes, Jerry Redding, CT On Sat, Dec 10, 2022 at 4:17 AM Klaus Heimann <klausheimann@...> wrote:
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Gema Goeyardi
Hi Jerry Can you help to show this method on a daily data basis? Warm Regards Dr.Gema Goeyardi,MM,MH,CAT,CFTe,MFTA,CWM,CSA,CTA,CFI,CFII,MEII,IGI President & Founder  PT Astronacci International 12 Marina Boulevard #17-01 Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 Singapore 018982 Phone: (65) 6809.5095 | Fax: (65) 6809.5001 www.astronacci.comJakarta Gallery: (62-21) 2938.5522 | USA Office: (1) 747.777.9552 On Sat, Dec 10, 2022 at 8:58 AM Jerry Nevins <jnevins@...> wrote:
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Jerry Nevins
Hi Gemma, Here Gold for most of 2022. This is just Q Spectrum II. Take time to experiment with the min and max number of days. RPO is 20000, FSM and Overtones are set at 1.  Here are the Q Spectrum II settings  Let us know what you discover! Jerry On Sun, Dec 11, 2022 at 6:43 PM Gema Goeyardi <gemagoeyardi@...> wrote:
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Gema Goeyardi
Dear Jerry Thank you. Let me share my view in depth later. For now Gold heading to 1856 based on the Sun capricorn cycle Here is the video of my theory. I was the speaker of IFTA conference 2020 with this topic Your technique will help a lot Thank you On Sun, 11 Dec 2022 at 22.01 Jerry Nevins <jnevins@...> wrote:
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Warm Regards Dr.Gema Goeyardi,MM,MH,CAT,CFTe,MFTA,CWM,CSA,CTA,CFI,CFII,MEII,IGI President & Founder PT Astronacci International 12 Marina Boulevard #17-01 Marina Bay Financial Centre Tower 3 Singapore 018982 Phone: (65) 6809.5095 | Fax: (65) 6809.5001 www.astronacci.comJakarta Gallery: (62-21) 2938.5522 | USA Office: (1) 747.777.9552 |
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Jerry Nevins
And thank you Gemma for the link to your video... nice presentation! As you said, Sun in Capricorn is bullish... Look at these statistics on 18 years of Gold... (Thanks Sergey for this new capability!)   100% down on Dec 25th, 90% up on Jan 2.... wow. Jerry On Sun, Dec 11, 2022 at 10:08 PM Gema Goeyardi <gemagoeyardi@...> wrote:
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Krzysztof Kujawiak
This week was great :)
I will try to play with it, adding my other technique for entry in the direction from cycles. Im still trying to find a way how to set stoploss here, because sometimes cycle work but with big Drawdown. |
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ts_service
I tried to incorporate drowdown directly in cyclical algorithm in Q-Box module. The idea is clear maximize profit minimize drawdown. This approach is not working, decreasing targeted drawdown we inevitable decrease profit as well. Drawdown/profit ratio should be 70% at least, otherwise it is simply impossible to find predictable zones. As it is now I think it is better separate modeling and risk
management, these two tasks do not want to be in one box. I think
this is fundamental weakness of cyclical analysis, any kind of
cyclical analysis it forecasts direction but does not forecast
magnitude. Our hopes are with modules that work directly with
price (without normalization/detrending price) - trading spectrum
and quantum figures.
Best regards. Sergey.
On 2022-12-18 12:48 a.m., Krzysztof
Kujawiak via groups.io wrote:
This week was great :) |
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Krzysztof Kujawiak
Yes, there is no profit without drawdown.
It's good to know, what was the previous price move in similar period of time. Are you working now to improve Quantum Figures and Trading spectrum? What about "Turning points", they can sometimes show what's the reasonable price target/stop loss. |
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SergeyTS
Trading spectrum yes. Old trading spectrum have finished it's
work, at least we know "wrong way" places. Quantum figures not so
far, there are still many non clear things there. Best regards. Sergey. On 2022-12-18 11:36 p.m., Krzysztof
Kujawiak via groups.io wrote:
Yes, there is no profit without drawdown. |
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Jerry Nevins
Hi Krzystof, My post this evening is about staying closer to the market by using a shorter time horizon, in this case about 6 hours instead of 5 days by using 5 minute bars instead of 30 minute bars. An alternate scenario is to limit the use of leverage with the longer timeline. With no leverage, even a 100 pip excursion from the intended target results in a 1% drawdown.... Jerry On Mon, Dec 19, 2022 at 7:21 PM SergeyTS <timingsolution@...> wrote:
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azs1
Hi Jerry
I have been watching the XAUUSD pairs using your strategy and generally it works well.
A few of my observations which I am taking into account:
I wonder to what extent your study is following range > range expansion > corrective > range > range expansion; with the range component creating a predictable cycle; with the expansion and corrective creating variation?
There seems to be some confirmation between the pairs. Some of the popular tickers such as SPX which can also be traded via futures have seen an increase in zero day to expiry options which has increased volatility, so I am not sure how reliable they are to this strategy, so I will likely remove those.
Based off my observations, I find your model can work well to predict the range expansion direction before markets open. It’s not perfect but combined with some other technical analysis tools there does seem to be an edge that can be obtained. And any edge in trading is very welcome!
Thanks again for posting the strategy
Best regards
Ahmed
From: main@timingsolution.groups.io <main@timingsolution.groups.io>
On Behalf Of Jerry Nevins
Sent: 20 December 2022 02:59 To: main@timingsolution.groups.io Subject: Re: [timingsolution] Gold/USD promising method
Hi Krzystof,
My post this evening is about staying closer to the market by using a shorter time horizon, in this case about 6 hours instead of 5 days by using 5 minute bars instead of 30 minute bars. An alternate scenario is to limit the use of leverage with the longer timeline. With no leverage, even a 100 pip excursion from the intended target results in a 1% drawdown....
Jerry
On Mon, Dec 19, 2022 at 7:21 PM SergeyTS <timingsolution@...> wrote:
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Rizwan Khan
Hello,
How did you draw the sun-capricorn cycle in TS? I clicked astrology module, I found sun, but i could not find Capricorn in the second drop down. So how did you draw it? |
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SergeyTS
Hello, Rizwan What module do you mean?: ULE, Astronomy, Astrological prediction techniques... Best regards. Sergey.
On 2023-03-19 5:25 a.m., Rizwan Khan
wrote:
Hello, |
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Rizwan Khan
Hello,
I was referring to the astonomy module, but keen to also understand what other options TS can do. My thoughts were to draw the line forecast in astronomy module. |
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SergeyTS
Hello, Rizwan Look, when you click Astronomy button you will get this chart: it shows what going on with price while Sun passes different signs of Zodiac. This is typical movement of price while Sun passes Capricorn:
Rizwan, did you mean this or something else? Best regards. Sergey. On 2023-03-19 6:34 p.m., Rizwan Khan
wrote:
Hello, |
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Rizwan Khan
Thanks Sergey,
Is there a way to draw a forecast line in terms of when sun passes Capricorn or as it approaches it, like we do with Sun/Moon Astonomy cycles. Maybe I'm talking rubbish, as i don't really understand the zodiac and planet cycles much. But somehow trying to draw a price forecast line using sun/capricorn. |
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Gerald
Hi Rizwan
The astronomy composite curve that Sergey sent you shows the expected price behaviour as the Sun travels through the zodiac. Sergey highlighted the price behaviour as the Sun passes through (ie transits) Capricorn since that is what you were interested in, but the same curve shows the expected behaviour as the Sun passes Capricorn, approaches Capricorn and leaves Capricorn (as well as the other 11 signs of the zodiac). A copy of Sergey's picture is below for convenience.
Understanding and working with astro movements can be difficult and may require a deal of time depending on how much research you'd like to conduct. There is a great deal of detailed help material on the TS website. As an example, type in "astro" in the knowledge base for numerous articles etc as shown in the screenshots further below.
Regards Gerald
From: main@timingsolution.groups.io
[mailto:main@timingsolution.groups.io] On Behalf Of Rizwan Khan
Sent: Monday, 20 March 2023 6:17 PM To: main@timingsolution.groups.io Subject: Re: [timingsolution] Gold/USD promising method
Thanks Sergey, |
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Rizwan Khan
Hi Gerarld,
Thanks for your help, appreciate it. |
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